The Eurovision Grand Final is on Saturday, May 18, when 26 countries will compete to win the crown and host next year’s contest. There are two semi-finals which whittle down more than 40 countries to just 26 in the grand final. On Saturday these 26 will sing, dance and put on a show to gain votes from around the world.
But can the UK win Eurovision?
There are several key factors which can be found in winning Eurovision songs according to a study from Dance Direct.
Analysing data from 2012 onwards Dance Direct found factors such as; language, gender, act size, dance-ability and politics can predict who will be this year’s Eurovision winner.
Winning indicators according to the data include:
- Singing in an imaginary language – other than English and English-Native mix singing in a faux language holds the highest score
- Singing in Serbian – which has historically scored higher than Italian
- Being male – men place higher than women
- Going solo – solo acts get a better position, compared to groups
- Receiving points from Spain, The Netherlands, and Belgium – these countries are most likely to award their points to the eventual winner each year
Read More: Eurovision 2019: Theresa May to make Britain LOSE? Tory flop predicted
According to the data from Dance Direct, which is based on the past winners, the Netherlands’ Duncan Lawrence is outlined as the favourite for Eurovision 2019 with his original song, “Arcade” which fits most of the criteria.
This algorithm, when applied to the UK, predicted Michael Rice and his song Bigger Than Us will reach number 17 in the standings.
But has Brexit impacted how the UK is viewed at Eurovision?
Dr Steve McCabe, business researcher and economist at Birmingham City University told Express.co.uk that with the ongoing debate and turmoil over Brexit, the UK may expect fewer votes at Eurovision this year.
Read More: Eurovision Australia live stream: How to watch Eurovision in Australia
Dr McCabe said: “Sadly, I suspect, after everything that has gone on with Brexit, I reckon that the UK will be likely to be given even fewer votes than usual.
“Therefore no chance of winning but, in Eurovision, you can expect the unexpected.
“Let’s face it, the fact it’s being held in Israel is one of the strange peculiarities of this contest!
“Whilst there should be no reason to believe that Brexit will have any effect, Eurovision is notorious for the desire of certain countries to vote in a way that appears a bias against the UK.
Read More: Eurovision 2019 UK song: Who is Michael Rice?
“The referendum of 2016 in which a majority of voters showed their wish to leave Europe has probably confirmed what a lot of Europeans always suspected, that many in the UK do not share the ideals of collaboration.
“As such, this year’s Eurovision will offer an opportunity for voters in other European countries to give us more ‘nil points’ than would be usual.”
Dr McCabe believes the UK would come in the lower quarter in the standings, and would “be amazed” if they finished any higher.
He continued: “As usual our entry is fine but there is certainly no wow or surprise factor that seems to be essential to be a winner in Eurovision.
“It’s impossible to get away from what seems at times to be the petty politics and mutual backscratching of Eurovision.
“And though winning the contest has nothing like the prestige that was attached to it a couple of generations ago – let’s not forget that the legendary pop group Abba effectively became mainstream by winning in 1974 with ‘Waterloo’ – there is no doubt that every act will give their all.
“Audiences watching Eurovision love a good show and appreciate acts that have a great song but have also worked on a strong visual performance.
“Daring to be really different or radical is always worth a go.
“After all, on Sunday morning no one remembers any of the acts anyway!”
The second Eurovision Semi Final is tonight at 8pm on BBC Four.
The Eurovision grand final is on Saturday, May 18 from 8pm on BBC One.
Source: Read Full Article