MANCHESTER United haven’t lost a home since the opening day of the season but red-hot Aston Villa will offer a real threat to that record on Sunday.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa odds
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa betting preview
Unai Emery is doing a terrific job at Aston Villa.
When the club sacked Steven Gerrard in October, they were outside the relegation zone only on goal difference having won just two of their first 11 games.
Six months on and Villa are outside the top five only on goal difference. Europe beckons.
It’s a stunning turnaround and a team which has won eight and suffered no defeats in their last 10 games will surely fancy themselves at Old Trafford.
Yes, Manchester United have an excellent home record – 11 wins and one loss in 15 – but they’ve had a lot of football to play in recent weeks.
Their last three games have seen them lose at Sevilla to exit the Europa League, scrape past Brighton in the FA Cup after 120 minutes and penalties, and then blow a two-goal lead to draw at Spurs.
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Villa have actually won two of their last three against United, including the reverse fixture in November.
That result extended Emery’s unbeaten record as a manager against the Red Devils to six games.
With Ollie Watkins in a fine run of goalscoring form, expect Villa to cause a few problems at the very least.
Of course, United’s home record warrants respect and in Marcus Rashford they also have a player who continues to find the net with regularity.
Yes, his numbers have eased off a bit in recent weeks but he was lively and back on the scoresheet on Thursday night.
Expect an entertaining game, one in which Villa might just spring the upset – they certainly look a tempting price.
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa key stats
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League games, winning eight of those.
- Villa have kept a clean sheet in nine of their 20 league games since Unai Emery took charge.
- United stars Casemiro and Luke Shaw both feature in the Premier League ‘top 10 foulers’ list.
- Villa are the most-fouled team in this season’s Premier League.
- Villa striker Ollie Watkins has scored in 10 of his last 14 games (11 goals in total).
Manchester United vs Aston Villa best bets
Aston Villa to win
Villa’s climb up the Premier League table has been highly impressive and Europe is now a real possibility.
However, after a run of eight wins and no defeats in their last 10, they can’t ease up and so a form side going full pelt should cause the hosts problems.
OK, United haven’t lost at Old Trafford since the opening day but they’ve had a hard week – extra time at Wembley followed by blowing a two-goal lead at Spurs.
In short, Villa’s price simply looks too big.
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Back Villa to win at 15/4 at Spreadex
Both teams 2+ cards
These are two of the better teams for cards and, as already explained, this is no end-of-season game for either of them.
Villa are the league’s most-fouled team so expect United to improve their statistic for receiving 2+ cards, one which currently stands at 67%.
Villa can’t match that yet but have managed it in four of their last six, also collecting three cards when winning the reverse fixture 3-1.
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Back both teams 2+ cards at 6/4 at bet365
Both teams to score
With both sides in decent form, I’m expecting goals at Old Trafford.
United have only failed to score twice at home this season, while Villa have found the net in every match since Emery was appointed, including at Arsenal, Man City and Spurs.
The price here won’t be for everyone but if not backing it as a single, this looks a good staple for any Bet Builders.
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Back both teams to score at 8/13 at William Hill
How to watch Manchester United vs Aston Villa
- Location: Old Trafford Stadium, London, England.
- Time: Sunday, April 30, 14:00 BST
- Where to watch: Not being broadcast live on UK TV
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