THIS year’s Premier League relegation battle has been among the most exciting of all-time. With newly promoted Fulham and Bournemouth both punching above their weight, we have seen some unfamiliar names occupying the lower spots down the table.
Huge names like Everton and Leicester City have become entrenched in an ugly battle in the wrong half of the table, while perennial strugglers Leeds and Southampton could finally drop from the division. With just a few weeks to go, let’s have a look at how the bookies think this one might play out.
What teams are likely to get relegated in the 2022/23 season of the Premier League?
One of the reasons this year’s relegation race has been so exciting is the sheer number of teams that are involved. Typically, one or two of the relegation spots are wrapped up by this stage of the season, but with three games to go, none of this year’s have been confirmed. Let’s have a look at all of the teams that could still mathematically get relegated and see what the bookies think their chances of survival are.
Southampton at 1/500 with William Hill
Southampton’s 4-3 defeat at the hands of relegation rivals Nottingham Forest all but confirms a return to the Championship for the first time in 11 years for the Saints. Ruben Selles’s team have consistently been the poorest in the Premier League this season, and they will need a miracle to survive now. Two home games against Fulham and Liverpool remain, with an away trip to Brighton sandwiched in the middle. The Saints need to win all three games and hope teams above them drop points to survive. Given that they’ve only won six games this season, that seems highly unlikely. They can be found at 1/500 to be relegated with William Hill.
Pick Southampton to get relegated to EFL Championship at 1/500 with William Hill
Leeds United at 2/5 with bet365
Leeds United have been in free fall during the second half of the season. They have picked up one win in their last eight games and have been on the end of several heavy defeats, including 5-1 and 6-1 home defeats to Crystal Palace and Liverpool, respectively. Sam Allardyce has been brought in to try and help the club to safety, but with three games to go, including tricky ties with Newcastle and Tottenham, they are rightfully considered a favourite for relegation. You can get them at 2/5 with bet365 to drop out of the Premier League.
Choose Leeds United to end up in EFL Championship next season at 2/5 with bet365
Leicester City at 2/5 with Coral
Anyone that backed Leicester City for relegation at the start of the season could be on the brink of a serious payout in the next few weeks. The Foxes were far from anyone’s thoughts for relegation when the season started, but the former Premier League champions have sleepwalked their way into real trouble with just a few games left.
Many pundits have insisted that they have the quality to get out of this battle, with the likes of Jamie Vardy, Harvey Barnes, and James Maddison all being top Premier League talent, but time is running out. They face three tricky ties, with matches against Liverpool and Newcastle to come before a final-day encounter with West Ham at home. They can be found at odds of 4/9 for relegation with Parimatch.
Tip Leister City to finish in the bottom three spots of the Premier League at 4/9 with Parimatch
Nottingham Forest at 7/4 with 10bet
Steve Cooper’s Nottingham Forest have been written off at various points this season, but they keep finding a way to put themselves back in contention for safety. Their dramatic 4-3 victory over Southampton and their recent 3-1 win against Brighton has highlighted their resilience on home soil, but they will need to find a way to win away from home, with two of their remaining three games being away at Chelsea and Crystal Palace. Their remaining home game sees them welcome title-chasing Arsenal to the County Ground, so they will need to dig deep to pick up points. They’ve shown that they can do it, though, and with the attacking prowess of Morgan Gibbs White and Brennan Johnson, they might just find a way out. They are at odds of 7/4 for relegation with 10bet.
Bet on Nottingham Forest to get relegated at 7/4 with 10bet
Everton at 3/1 with Spredex
Everton’s hopes of survival will have been significantly boosted by their 5-1 away victory at Brighton. It is difficult to quantify momentum, but the Everton team will feel as though they can find another victory in their last few games, with a trip to Wolves and a home game against Bournemouth both offering a good chance to secure survival. They will still need results to go their way elsewhere, but The Toffees will feel quietly confident they can pull off an escape for the second consecutive season. They are available at odds of 3/1 for relegation with Spreadex.
Make an outright bet on Everton to get relegated at 3/1 with Spreadex
West Ham at 500/1 with Betway
West Ham would need a disastrous run of results to go against them to drop into the Championship next season at this stage. Their victory over Manchester United at the weekend saw them go seven points clear of the relegation zone. However, they will still play a major role in the relegation battle, with back-to-back matches against Leeds and Leicester seeing out their campaign. If you still think they could go down, they can now be found all the way out at 500/1 with Betway.
Choose West Ham for relegation at 500/1 with Betway
Which teams have been relegated in the previous season?
Burnley, Norwich and Watford were the three teams that fell through the Premier League trap door last season. The three teams have had mixed fortunes in the Championship.
A revitalised Burnley under new manager Vincent Kompany bounced back at the first time of asking, comfortably winning the league. Watford have not had as much luck, going through three managers in the space of twelve months and failing to mount a continued challenge for the play-offs, whereas Norwich missed out on the play-off late and will look to come back stronger next year.
Of the teams currently occupying the relegation spaces, Nottingham Forest and Leeds have been in the Championship most recently, with Forest sealing promotion in the play-offs last season and Leeds coming up three years ago. Southampton have not been in the division since they finished second in 2011/12, while Leicester’s last stint saw them win the league in 2014/15. Everton are total strangers to the second tier, having not been out of the top flight since the 1953/54 season.
What teams from the EFL Championship are expected to take the places of relegated teams?
Two of the three promotion spots for the Championship have already been secured. Burnley, under Vincent Kompany, stormed to an impressive 101-point finish to win the league, while Sheffield United finished in the runner-up spot, guaranteeing a return to the top flight after two seasons away.
The final spot will be decided through the playoffs, with Luton Town and Middlesborough being joined by Coventry and Sunderland on the season's final day. The Championship play-off final will be held on May 27th.
What other end-of-season markets for the Premier League can I bet on?
The end of the season is an exciting time in the Premier League in both halves of the table. Here are some of the other end-of-season markets worth keeping an eye on.
Premier League winner
This one is self-explanatory. You can bet on which team you believe will win this season’s Premier League. This year’s race has been among the most exciting in recent years, with Arsenal taking reigning champions Manchester City down to the final few games. You can back City to win at 1/12 and Arsenal to find a way to get their hands on their first Premier League in 19 years at 8/1, both with bet365.
Bet on Arsenal as the Premier League winner at 8/1 with bet365
Top placements
Other popular end-of-season markets are focused on European spots and top/bottom half placements. The battle for the top four and top six offer some value, with outsiders like Brighton and Aston Villa shaking up the race in the latter.
Bet on top Premier League placements at Coral
Top goalscorer
Okay, so Erling Haaland has been a cheat code in the Premier League this season and absolutely obliterated the competition. Still, typically, the top goalscorer market is also one that is worth keeping an eye on as the season approaches its climax.
What bookies have the best Premier League relegation odds for the 2022/23 season?
If you're looking to bet on which teams might get relegated from the Premier League next season, here are some bookies with competitive odds.
bet365
bet365 Bonus Code: SUN365
Get £30 in Free Bets with bet365 Bonus Code “SUN365”
New Customers only. Bet £10* & Get £30* in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5* and £10* to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs and time limits & exclusions apply.
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bet365 is one of the best bookies in the UK for relegation odds. The site is renowned for its football-based offerings, and you can expect it to have plenty of price boosts and bonuses on offer as we head into the campaign's final stretch. It also has some of the most competitive odds for relegation and has excellent in-play betting options, which can be useful during the final day.
Ladbrokes
Ladbrokes sign up
Bet £5 get £20 in free bets
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
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Ladbrokes is another big hitter when it comes to football. Features like #GetAPrice! and Price Boost will both be useful for finding value in the final run-in, especially with all of the potential twists and turns that could take place. Their acca features are also brilliant and will undoubtedly be useful on the final day.
BetUK
BetUK sign up
Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets
18+ New customers on mobile only | 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7-day expiry. BeGambleAware.org. Full T&Cs apply
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BetUK may not be as well known as the other two bookies listed, but it is one of the best football betting sites around. It has competitive odds in the relegation and other outright markets and regularly offers free bets for customers to use for football. It also has some of the best live-betting options on the markets.
How to place a bet on Premier League relegations
Betting on the Premier League relegation battle is an easy process. You will need to follow these steps:
- Log in or sign-up with your preferred UK bookmaker. If you are new to the site, don’t forget to claim your sports-betting welcome bonus.
- Once logged in, locate the football page. Bookies normally heavily promote football, so this should be easy to find.
- Find the Premier League betting page and go to the outright markets.
- Click on the relegation tab to open a list of teams and odds. Make your selection and it to your betting slip.
- Go to your betting slip and enter your stake. Make sure you double-check the team and the stake.
- Confirm your bet, sit back and enjoy one of the most exciting relegation battles in Premier League history.
Our top 5 tips and strategies for betting on Premier League relegation
Don’t vote with your heart: Relegation is one of the toughest things a football fan can go through, so it makes sense that you wouldn’t to see it happen to your team. However, it is important you don’t allow your emotions to rule your head when you’re betting. Likewise, you shouldn’t bet against your rival going down just because you hate them, especially if they are trending upward and look like they could survive.
Monitor injuries and suspensions: At this point, every game is a cup final for the teams involved in the Premier League relegation battle, and an injury or suspension for a key player could change everything. Ensure you keep up to date with team news, as this can play a major role in who goes down.
Keep your eyes out for bonuses: Bookies love giving out bonuses and price boosts for football. Given the exciting nature of this year’s relegation battles, plenty of offers will be available. Placing free bets on relegation markets is never a bad idea, especially if you can cover as many teams as possible with them.
Check the run-ins: ‘Run-in’ becomes a bit of a buzz phrase at this time of the season, but it’s for good reason. Checking who teams have left to play can be a good way of making your relegation predictions. Of course, it is worth remembering that there are often some strange results this time of the year, as we’ve just seen with Everton’s 5-1 win away at Brighton.
Remember, it’s not over until the final whistle: The history of the Premier League is full of dramatic last-day goals that have decided a team’s fate. As such, it can be worth monitoring the odds throughout the final few games, with the possibility of some good in-play odds on the last day. With three games to go, there promises to be plenty more twists and turns before the curtain comes down on the 22/23 Premier League season.
About the author
Liam Hoofe
Liam is an experienced iGaming and sports betting journalist based in Cardiff. He has worked in the sports betting industry since 2017 and has provided content for some of the biggest casino and betting brands in the UK. He has also covered football and other sports for both regional and national newspapers.
Find Liam on Twitter: @LiamHoofe
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