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The Post’s Dave Blezow gives his picks for the rest of NFL Week 16. Home team in CAPS.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-10.5) over New York Giants
Ravens offense is finally rolling as it has put up 40 points a game over the last three weeks, including 47 against a Browns team that gave up six points to the Giants last week. Daniel Jones could be back, but as we saw a few weeks ago, if he’s not mobile he’s not a huge upgrade over Colt McCoy. Giants haven’t reached 20 points in any of their past four games.
New York Jets (+9.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS
Worried the Jets will be overconfident due to their one-game winning streak? The Browns are potent, but the Jets might finally be getting somewhere. The play calling was very good in LA and Ty Johnson can be a weapon on the ground if the passing game is working. Didn’t buy in with the Lions, but home underdogs +7 or more are 5-1 ATS this season, per VSiN.
Atlanta Falcons (+10.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
KC would clinch AFC’s top seed and the division’s coveted lone bye with a win, but that doesn’t need to be by a lot. The Chiefs had five wins/non-covers in a row before covering by a half-point in a 32-29 win at the Saints last week. Falcons blew another huge lead to Brady but have the firepower to hang around here.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+2) over Indianapolis Colts
Amazing that the Steelers have gone from 11-0 to home underdogs in three weeks. Ben Roethlisberger looked 75 in the loss at Cincinnati, and this is a short week, too. Respect the Colts but have every confidence Mike Tomlin will get this fixed.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) over CHICAGO BEARS
Doug Marrone swears his Jaguars team is still playing to win, not sitting on the newfound No. 1 pick for Trevor Lawrence. Bears have been hot on offense (33 points a game in their last three) but have been unreliable for the long haul. The longtime Jets watcher in me can envision the Jags teasing a Lawrence give-back in a close loss.
HOUSTON TEXANS (-8) over Cincinnati Bengals
Not thrilled with laying so many points with the Texans, but the Bengals travel on a short week after a stunning win over the Steelers in what essentially was their Super Bowl. Hard to match that emotion and intensity.
Carolina Panthers (+2) over WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM
The Maskless QB in Topless Bar, Dwayne Haskins, apparently is not getting suspended and looks to be in line to start if Alex Smith (calf) can’t return. But I’ll take a few points with Teddy Bridgewater, who as an underdog is 7-3 ATS this season and 24-6 in his career.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-3.5) over Denver Broncos
Both teams come in with extra rest, the Chargers with a few days more after their Thursday win over the Raiders. The Bills’ Josh Allen really showed the Bolts’ Justin Herbert where all the holes are in the Denver defense.
DALLAS COWBOYS (+2.5) over Philadelphia Eagles
A wave of Eagles money flipped this line from Cowboys -1 to where it is now, presumably on the promise Jalen Hurts has shown the past two weeks. Only thing is, now there’s some film on Hurts to help defensive coordinators. Eagles also would be eliminated from the playoffs around kickoff if Washington wins.
Los Angeles Rams (+1.5) over SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
How do teams react after a loss to the Jets? Well, we’ll finally find out. The Rams sleepwalked through the first half and couldn’t come through in the end. Figuring we’ll go from the worst of Sean McVay and Jared Goff to the best of them here.
Tennessee Titans (+3.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS
Happy to grab some points with a Tennessee team that has averaged 37.4 points a game over the past five. Derrick Henry has four 100-plus rushing games, including a 178 and a 215 in that span.
Monday Night Football
BUFFALO BILLS (-7) over New England Patriots
I know it’s probably too many points to give the Patriots, but this Bills offense is looking like the perfect beast, as Allen can find the best way on seemingly every play. Playoff seeding motivation is light, but the Bills probably wouldn’t mind paying the Patriots back for past abuse.
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