The Washington Nationals (79-64) and Minnesota Twins (89-55) meet Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The contest marks the middle game of the three-game interleague set.
Washington headed into the series on a down note and was then shut out in Tuesday’s series opener. The Nationals are 2-6 over their last eight. Minnesota has scuffled a bit over recent home games, but that’s mostly due to a pair of series against a tough Cleveland Indians club.
Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Stephen Strasburg vs. LHP Martin Perez
Strasburg owns a fine 3.50 ERA/3.19 xFIP in 2019. From an analytics standpoint and given the current run-scoring environment, Strasburg may be having his best season since 2014. He’s been consistent start-to-start and month-to-month. The veteran right-hander has been a tremendous road hurler (3.38 xFIP in 2019) over his career.
Perez is probably the weak link in the Minnesota rotation, and the Twins are still 15-10 in his starts. The veteran port-sider owns a 4.75 ERA/4.67 xFIP on the season. Perez has struggled over his last 6-7 starts (lesser control, hitting more bats, HR/FB spike). Even still, the veteran’s value to the Twins is his sturdiness and ability to eat innings.
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Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins: By the Numbers
- The Washington offense struggled on the road early in the season, but since the All-Star break, the Nationals rank 10th in MLB with a high-contact .789 OPS in road games.
- The Twins hold a big advantage in the bullpen exchange (4.30 xFIP to 5.04 xFIP). Minnesota owns a sparkling 3.94 xFIP over the last 30 days.
- Strasburg bettors are on the plus side this season (+2.9 units, +6.4 return on investment).
- Perez has a subpar line (.818 OPS against) against Washington.
- In platoon splits, the Nationals are at their best against LHP (.821 OPS) and the Twins are at their worst (.810) against RHP.
- Strasburg has been a silly-good finisher in the waning weeks of MLB seasons. He owns a career September ERA of 1.96 on the strength of a .521 OPS allowed.
Washington Nationals at Minnesota Twins: Picks and Betting Tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; for a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.
Moneyline: The Twins’ third time around against Strasburg will be a strength-on-strength scenario and a key one in the outcome with the Nationals trying to get by with the lesser bullpen. Take Strasburg in that match-up and Washington (-140) for the game.
Run line: The run line ( Washington -1.5, +110) brings in too much analytical cloudiness and juice.
Over/under: There is a slight lean on the UNDER (10, -115), buts it’s a borderline expected value.
Get some action in this one by placing a bet at BetMGM.
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