‘Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not’: Donald Trump says election winner should be known TONIGHT but admits his team IS preparing for legal challenges that could drag out results
- President Donald Trump sent mixed-messaging Tuesday on when he feels the winner of the election will be known
- He told his staffers at his Arlington, Virginia campaign headquarters ‘Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not’ during a quick trip there on Election Day
- Trump insisted it’s important the election results are known on Tuesday night
- ‘You have to have a date, and the date happens to be November 3,’ Trump said. ‘And we should be entitled to know who won on November 3’
- Reiterated he intends to launch legal battles against states that count ballots received days after Election Day as long as they were postmarked November 3
- He says this is an attempt by Democrats to ‘steal’ the election for Joe Biden
Donald Trump admitted Tuesday that he doesn’t take losing well as he rattled off a confusing message on when he expects the election winner to be known, claiming he wants to know by Election Night, but doubling down on preparing to launch a legal battle in several states over the results.
‘I’m not thinking about a concession speech or acceptance speech yet. Hopefully we’ll be doing only one of those two,’ Trump told reporters as he visited his campaign headquarters in Arlington, Virginia Tuesday afternoon as voters lined up all over the country to cast their ballots.
‘And you know, winning is easy,’ the president continued. ‘Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not.’
The president was joined by White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany, his Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and a very dressed-down Jared Kushner, his son-in-law and senior adviser, for the trip.
Reports emerged over the weekend that Trump is preparing to declare victory Tuesday night before a winner is officially called – but the president denied this, claiming the reports were ‘false.’
President Donald Trump sent mixed-messaging on when he feels the winner of the election will be known as he told a room full of his staffers at his Arlington, Virginia campaign headquarters: ‘Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not’
The president insisted that it’s very important the election results are known on Tuesday night
Trump took a drive over the border of D.C. and Virginia on Election Day to visit with his campaign staffers at the headquarters in Arlington, VA
‘You have to have a date, and the date happens to be November 3,’ Trump said. ‘And we should be entitled to know who won on November 3’
Trump was joined by White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany (right) and his son-in-law and Senior Advisor, a very dressed-down, Jared Kushner (center) – his Chief of Staff Mark Meadows (not pictured) was also in tow
Trump told ‘Fox & Friends’ in a call-in interview Tuesday morning that he would declare victory ‘only when there’s victory.’
During his visit to the Washington D.C. suburb, which aired live on TV, Trump told a room of his staffers that the winner of the election should be decided Tuesday, again railing against mail-in ballots.
‘When do you think we’ll know a winner and should every vote be counted no matter how long it takes?’ a reporter gathered for the quick trip across the line from D.C. asked the president.
‘Well I think you will know possibly tonight depending on the extent of a victory. I think you could know tonight,’ Trump said.
‘I think the ruling on Pennsylvania was an unfortunate one by the Supreme Court because I think we should know what happens on the night,’ he said. ‘Let people put their ballots in earlier. But you have to have numbers, you can have these things delayed for many days and maybe weeks. You can’t do that. The whole world is waiting, this country is waiting – but the whole world is waiting.’
‘You have to have a date, and the date happens to be November 3,’ Trump reiterated. ‘And we should be entitled to know who won on November 3.’
‘They should put the ballot in earlier, there’s no reason why they can’t put the ballot in a few weeks earlier, one week earlier,’ he said. ‘I think it’s a very dangerous decision for a country in many ways dangerous, in many ways.’
The president is particularly upset with the swing state Pennsylvania, which could decide the outcome of the election.
The Supreme Court ruled in favor of Democrats in Pennsylvania who put in a new guideline due to an influx of mail-in ballots this year allowing the state election board to count those votes that were received up to three days after Election Day.
Trump says this is just a cover for Democrats to try and ‘steal’ the election by committing fraud.
The president, however, reiterated that he intends to launch legal battles against states that accept and count ballots days after Election Day
The court also ruled that North Carolina, another swing state – a bit less consequential than the Keystone State – has up to eight days after the election to collect and count ballots as long as they were postmarked by Tuesday, November 3.
‘And a lot of shenanigans, a lot of bad things happen with ballots when you say, ‘Oh let’s devote days and days and all of a sudden, the ballot count changes.’
Trump has continuously flip-flopped on how the rest of the election should move forward, claiming he wants results known on Election Night, but promising to launch legal battles that could hold up the results.
The president predicted that he will win with an even larger Electoral College margin than in 2016, but said he will only declare that he has won ‘when there’s a victory.’
‘So my number last time was 306,’ Trump said when the ‘Fox & Friends’ panel asked him how many Electoral College votes he thinks he will earn.
‘I ended up with 306, that was good numbers – 223-306,’ he said in reference to the outcome against Hillary Clinton in 2016 – but the Democratic candidate actually earned 232 not 223.
‘And that was a big number,’ the president said. ‘And I think we will top it. I’ll leave it at that. I think we’ll top it.’
Speaking hoarsely and 45 minutes later than scheduled after arriving back at the White House about 2am Tuesday, he voiced confidence in his ability to win.
According to Cook Political Report, Trump likely holds around 163 Electoral College votes as of now out of those states that are solid, likely and lean Republican. If he were to win all of the Electoral College votes of the states that are deemed a ‘toss up,’ his total would move up to 248.
This means he would need to earn 58 votes from solid, likely or lean Democrats states to even reach the threshold he won at in 2016.
When Trump was asked during the call-in interview when he will declare he has won the election, the president said ‘only when there’s victory.’
Trump said during a call-in interview with ‘Fox & Friends’ Tuesday that he believes he will ‘top’ the 306 Electoral College votes he won in 2016 to win again this year
Trump likely holds around 163 Electoral College votes, according to Cook Political Report, when considering states that are solid, likely and lean Republican. If he were to win all of the votes of the states that are deemed a ‘toss up,’ his total would move up to 248
Trump also said he would not say he won reelection ‘until there is victory’ amidst reports he would prematurely declare victory
‘I mean, there’s no reason to play games. And I think we’ll have victory,’ Trump, who sounded hoarse and less high-energy than usual following his ambitious campaign swing, said
‘I mean, there’s no reason to play games. And I think we’ll have victory,’ he said during his interview where he could be heard but not seen.
‘I look at it as being a very solid chance of winning,’ he continued. ‘I don’t know what the chances are – I don’t know how they rate the chances but I think we have a very solid chance of winning.’
Reports emerged over the weekend with sources claiming the president has extensively discussed his plans for election night, which they say includes declaring victory early.
The Axios report on Sunday said Trump privately discussed in delta plans to walk up to the podium on Tuesday and declare he has won before official Electoral College results are revealed.
Trump denied the claims, stating Sunday: ‘No, no that was a false report,’ after he landed in North Carolina for his third rally of the day.
The president touted Tuesday his hectic campaign schedule in the days leading up to Election Day, which included 14 rallies in three days. And said the massive crowd sizes, which regularly include thousands of loyalists, are proof that he will win reelection.
‘There was no small event – every place, no matter where we went,’ Trump said of his rallies in the days leading up to the election.
‘I really did six yesterday,’ he claimed. ‘Because the one from the day before went until two in the morning. So then I got up and did one at 8:00 a.m.’
During his rally in Michigan Monday – the last before Election Day – Trump told the crowd: ‘I think we’re going to win everything. I think tomorrow is going to be one of the greatest wins in the history.’
‘This is not the crowd of somebody who is going to lose the state of Michigan,’ he said of the rust belt swing state. ‘This is not the crowd of a second place finisher.’
Trump, who held 14 rallies in the last three days leading up to Election Day, also said his large crowd turnouts, reaching into the several thousands, are indicative that he will clinch another four years
‘We want a big win. Not just a win. A big win,’ Trump continued.
President Donald Trump, 74, started Election Day off by joining the ‘Fox & Friends’ panel in one of his famous call-in interviews. While the interviews sometimes pan an hour, this time around, he only joined the team for half-an-hour.
He also sounded much more low-energy than usual – possibly indicative of exhaustion following an aggressive and ambitious campaign schedule.
During Trump’s final rally before Election Day Monday night in Michigan, the president sounded hoarse and tired following two back-to-back days of campaigning.
He made stops in several crucial battleground states, including Pennsylvania, Michigan Wisconsin and Florida.
Trump’s final rally on Monday started after midnight following a 14-hour day of campaigning.
He told his crowd of supporters in Michigan not to make him cry as they repeatedly chanted ‘we love you’ as he wrapped up his final pitch for a second term.
‘Don’t make me cry, don’t make me cry,’ Trump, who was wearing a MAGA hat, told his large crowd of supporters as his children, excluding Barron, stood by his side.
‘If I started to cry they’d have a big story,’ he said. ‘They’d say the president broke down and cried, and I don’t know if that’s good for us.’
‘Maybe it brings me up four or five points, but I don’t care,’ Trump added.
He also brought up the line during his interview with Fox Tuesday morning, claiming it was a joke.
‘When the crowd was going, ‘We love you! We love you!’ and then you said, ‘Don’t make me cry,’ – were you a little emotional right then because that could have been the last rally of your political life?’ Fox & Friends co-host Steve Doocy posed.
‘I was kidding actually, but you know, there is a little emotion,’ Trump said. ‘But I’ve said that a few times actually, ‘Don’t make me cry, don’t make me cry. You’ll make me cry and that would be very bad for my image as president.’ And you know, I kid.’
Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads in national polls and in several battleground states crucial for Trump’s victory.
The former vice president is up nationally by 6.7 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
This year, however, predictions and polling are likely more reliable than previously as the election has been upended by the coronavirus pandemic – and Tuesday’s race is far from a lock for either candidate.
‘He’s not going to win. I really don’t believe he’s going to win,’ Trump said of Biden Monday night.
Joe puts the house on it! Biden is MOBBED by fans as he writes message on wall of his childhood Scranton home after visiting Beau’s grave with wife Jill and his two granddaughters
Joe Biden visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania, Tuesday morning where he left a poignant message on the wall, before being mobbed by fans in the battleground state, after starting election day attending mass and visiting his son Beau’s grave in Delaware.
The Democratic candidate scrawled the message ‘from this house to the White House with the grace of God’ alongside his signature and the date of the 59th US presidential election on the wall of the living room to his boyhood home, as he stopped in the town just hours before the polls close.
Biden was then mobbed by dozens of supporters who had gathered outside the in a show of support, as he headed for the next stop on his whistlestop tour of the state.
Biden is making appearances across two Pennsylvania cities Tuesday as he makes a final play for the battleground state where pollsters and both political parties feel the White House race could be won or lost.
The trip came after he started election day by attending morning mass and visiting Beau’s grave at St. Joseph On the Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington, Delaware , with his wife Jill and teenage granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie.
Joe Biden was mobbed by fans gathered outside his childhood home Tuesday in a show of support for the candidate
Biden visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania, Tuesday morning flanked by his grandchildren
The Democrat left a poignant message on the wall of the living room of his childhood home reading: ‘From this house to the White House with the grace of God’
Biden started election day Tuesday by attending morning mass and visiting his son Beau’s grave in Delaware (pictured)
Biden was seen walking into St. Joseph On the Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington with Jill, Finnegan and Natalie soon after 7 a.m. Tuesday.
The family attended a short mass at their local church before paying a visit to the grave of Biden’s late son Beau, an Iraq War veteran and Delaware attorney general, who was laid to rest there following his death in 2015 from brain cancer.
Biden’s late first wife Neilia and baby daughter Naomi, who both died in a car crash in 1972, are also buried in the cemetery.
Biden and Finnegan locked arms and she put her arm around her grandfather at one point as they took a moment at his grave.
Finnegan’s message to the American people was plain for all to see as she sported a face mask and black boots with the word ‘vote’ emblazoned on them.
This marks the second time in three days that Biden has paid a visit to the church after he was spotted attending a service there Sunday.
During that visit, he was met with a small group of pro-life protesters who shouted at the presidential candidate about his stance on abortion and held up banners reading ‘No Catholic can vote for Joe Biden’ and ‘Joe Biden equals abortion, euthanasia and infanticide.’
The three demonstrators, two women and one man, held signs and heckled Biden shouting ‘Joe, you’re a disgrace to the Catholic faith.’
They also heckled Biden’s late son chanting: ‘Repent for your soul’ and ‘Repent for Beau’s soul’.
Beau died aged 46 in 2015 from brain cancer and Biden often pays tribute to his courage battling the disease and also during his deployment to Iraq as a major in the Delaware Army National Guard.
The former vice president spoke of Beau during the first presidential debate in September as he hit out at Trump over his alleged disparaging comments about American military members.
‘The way you talk about the military, the way you talk about them being ‘losers’ and ‘suckers,’ Biden said, referencing the bombshell report in The Atlantic that Trump called the US war dead ‘suckers’ and ‘losers’.
‘My son was in Iraq. He spent a year there. He spent a year there. He got the Bronze Star.
‘He got the Conspicuous Service Medal. He was not a loser. He was a patriot and the people left behind there were heroes,’ said Biden.
Trump cut in to bring the conversation around to Biden’s other son Hunter.
‘Really? Are you talking about Hunter?’ he asked
‘I’m talking about my son, Beau Biden,’ Biden responded to which Trump said: ‘I don’t know Beau. I know Hunter.’
Biden’s Tuesday morning visit to his son’s grave kicked off election day for the Democratic hopeful, who currently leads Trump in the polls.
Biden then left Delaware to head to his home town of Scranton in Pennsylvania before he will later head on to Philadelphia.
He gave a thumbs up to reporters as he boarded a flight in Delaware to head to the Keystone State, taking with him granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie.
The Democratic presidential candidate was seen walking into St. Joseph On the Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington with his wife Jill and granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie soon after 7 a.m. Tuesday
The family attended mass at their local church before paying a visit to the grave of Biden’s late son Beau (pictured), an Iraq War veteran and Delaware attorney general
Biden and Finnegan locked arms and she put her arm around her grandfather at one point as they took a moment at his grave
Finnegan’s message to the American people was plain for all to see as she sported a face mask and black boots with the word ‘vote’ emblazoned on them
This marks the second time in three days that Biden has paid a visit to the church after he was spotted attending a service there Sunday
‘These are the only two of my grandchildren who have never been to Scranton. So we’re going home,’ he told reporters.
On his arrival in his hometown, Biden spoke to a local carpenters’ union, grabbing a megaphone to address about 50 people who were there.
‘It’s good to be home,’ he said. Then he referenced scoring a unanimous 5-0 vote in the tiny New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch, and turned it into a dig at his rival.
‘Based on Trump’s notion, I’m going to declare victory tonight,’ he quipped.
Biden then paid a visit to his childhood home, signing the living room wall with a historic message: ‘From This House to the White House, with the Grace of God.’
The message was written on the same wall he previously wrote another message during his 2008 run for vice president alongside then-nominee Barack Obama.
Back then, Biden wrote: ‘I Am Home.’
He emerged from the home to greet a crowd of supporters gathered outside, shouting: ‘It’s good to be home!’
The crowd cheered and shouted ‘We love you, Joe!’
Local resident and the current owner of his childhood home Anne Kearns spoke to the Democrat briefly outside telling him: ‘I watch ya all the time. I’m so proud of you.’
Biden also visited local sandwich shop Hank’s Hoagies and the home of Pennsylvania Democratic Sen. Bob Casey’s mother.
A person from a nearby house was being carried by stretcher to an ambulance nearby while he was outside.
Biden will then head to Philadelphia for the second of two city stops in Pennsyvlania, before returning to Wilmington where he and vice presidential candidate Kamala Harris will watch the results come in Tuesday night and deliver their election night remarks.
Harris is spending the last day of the race visiting Detroit, a predominantly black city in battleground state Michigan.
Biden takes a moment at his son’s grave. Beau was laid to rest there following his death in 2015 from brain cancer
Biden’s Tuesday morning visit kicks off election day for the Democratic hopeful with just hours before the polls close
Biden then headed to his home town of Scranton in Pennsylvania and will later go to Philadelphia
Trump also held one of his final campaign stops at Scranton Monday.
Minutes before Biden’s arrival in Scranton, Trump repeated unsubstantiated claims that the vote in Pennsylvania will be corrupted.
‘Philadelphia will be a disaster,’ Trump said during a hoarse early morning call-in interview on Fox & Friends after attending late night rallies.
Trump, who has previously refused to say he will accept the election results, said he would declare victory ‘only when there’s victory,’ following reports he might do so Tuesday night even as votes are still coming in.
However he also claimed he would win at least 306 electoral college votes and repeated his demand to know who wins on election night.
‘So my number last time was 306,’ he said of the votes he thinks he will earn.
‘I ended up with 306, that was good numbers – 223-306,’ he incorrectly said in reference to the outcome against Hillary Clinton in 2016.
‘And that was a big number. And I think we will top it. I’ll leave it at that. I think we’ll top it.’
Clinton actually earned 232 not 223 votes in 2016.
‘I’d like to find out on November 3, the end of the evening, or late into the morning whenever, who won the election. And that doesn’t allow that to happen. Unless there’s a blowout, or unless you don’t need Pennsylvania,’ Trump went on.
Trump was referencing a Supreme Court decision allowing the state to count mail-in ballots for three days after election day.
Late Monday, Trump said the decision by the high court will ‘induce violence in the streets.’
The extraordinary tweet, which Twitter slapped a warning label on, came amid preparations at the White House and in Washington for potential blowback in the event of a contested election.
‘The Supreme Court decision on voting in Pennsylvania is a VERY dangerous one. It will allow rampant and unchecked cheating and will undermine our entire systems of laws. It will also induce violence in the streets,’ Trump tweeted.
‘Something must be done!’ he added, without explanation.
The president has threatened to send in his lawyers to halt votes being counted that arrive after election day.
Under state law, election officials cannot start counting mail-in ballots until election day.
He gave a thumbs up to reporters as he boarded a flight in Delaware to head to the Keystone State
‘We’re going home,’ Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden told reporters as he headed to Scranton, Pennsylvania on election day. Here he talks with supporters there
Both Biden and Donald Trump have been eyeing Pennsylvania as one of the key swing states
Joe Biden arrives in his hometown Scranton to make a final play for Pennsylvania votes
Biden steps off the airplane at Wilkes-Barre Scranton International Airport with granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie. He told reporters in Delaware they were ‘going home’
Biden speaks to supporters at a canvass kickoff event at Local Carpenters Union 445 in Scranton
With the state’s top election official Kathy Boockvar saying there could be as many as 10 times as many mail-in votes in 2020 as there were in 2016, they could take several days to process and count.
Both Biden and Donald Trump have been eyeing Pennsylvania as one of the key swing states in the White House race.
Pennsylvania accounts for a significant 20 electoral votes meaning both Republicans and Democrats – as well as pollsters – believe the outcome of the state could dictate the entire race.
Concerns are mounting that Trump will declare victory in the state long before votes are counted or that he will attempt to stop mail-in votes being counted after election day.
Democrats are thought to be more likely to vote by mail-in voting given Trump’s constant rhetoric that the process is ‘rigged’.
Trump won the state by less than a point over Hillary Clinton back in 2016 however the latest polls show Biden is ahead by around 5 points.
Biden has visited the state more times than any other battleground state during his campaign trail and Trump has also focused heavily on drumming up support in the state.
Nearly 100 million Americans nationwide have voted early, and now it falls to election day voters to finish the job.
Biden entered election day with multiple paths to victory while Trump, playing catch-up in a number of battleground states, had a narrower but still feasible road to clinch 270 electoral college votes.
Control of the Senate is at stake, too: Democrats needed to net three seats if Biden captures the White House to gain control of all of Washington for the first time in a decade.
If Biden loses to Trump, the Democrats can still take control of the Senate if they take four Republican seats.
Meanwhile, the House is expected to remain under Democratic control.
Biden paid a visit to his childhood home in Scranton, signing the living room wall with a historic message: ‘From This House to the White House, with the Grace of God’
The message was written on the same wall he previously wrote another message during his 2008 run for vice president alongside then-nominee Barack Obama. Back then, Biden wrote: ‘I Am Home’
He emerged from the home to greet a crowd of supporters gathered outside, shouting: ‘It’s good to be home!’
Biden makes his way through the crowd outside of his childhood home on election day in Scranton with his family
Biden gives a thumbs-up to the crowd of supporters donning face masks and cheering for the Democrat outside his childhood home
Biden gives a fist bump to a supporter as he leaves local sandwich shop Hank’s Hoagies in Scranton
Biden speaks with supporters in Scranton as he makes a final play for the battleground state where Trump is also rallying today
Voters braved long lines and the threat of the virus to cast ballots as they chose between two starkly different visions of America for the next four years.
The record-setting early vote – and legal skirmishing over how it will be counted – drew unsupported allegations of fraud from Trump, who refused to guarantee he would honor the election’s result.
Trump made a morning appearance on ‘Fox & Friends,’ where he predicted he will win by a larger electoral margin than he did in 2016.
It marked the first in a string of media interviews on the final day of the race.
He headed to his campaign headquarters in Virginia for around midday and invited hundreds of supporters to an election night party in the East Room of the White House.
On their final full day on the campaign trail, Trump and Biden broke sharply over the mechanics of the vote itself while visiting the most fiercely contested battleground, Pennsylvania.
The Republican president threatened legal action to block the counting of ballots received after Election Day. If Pennsylvania ballot counting takes several days, as is allowed, Trump claimed without evidence that ‘cheating can happen like you have never seen.’
In fact, there are roughly 20 states that allow mail-in ballots received after Election Day to be counted – up to nine days and longer in some states.
Litigation has centered on just a few where states have made changes in large part due to the coronavirus.
Biden told voters in Pennsylvania that the very fabric of the nation was at stake and offered his own election as the firmest rebuke possible to a president who he said had spent ‘four years dividing us at every turn.’
‘Tomorrow’s the beginning of a new day. Tomorrow we can put an end to a president that´s left hardworking Americans out in the cold!’ Biden said in Pittsburgh. ‘If you elect me as president, I´m gonna act to heal this country.’
Trump argued, at a stop in Wisconsin, that Biden was ‘not what our country needs.’ He added: ‘This isn’t about – yeah, it is about me, I guess, when you think about it.’
The nation braced for what was to come – and a result that might not be known for days.
A new anti-scale fence was erected around the White House. And in downtowns ranging from New York to Denver to Minneapolis, workers boarded up businesses lest the vote lead to unrest of the sort that broke out earlier this year amid protests over racial inequality.
Just a short walk from the White House, for block after block, stores had their windows and doors covered. Some kept just a front door open, hoping to attract a little business.
Both candidates voted early, but first lady Melania Trump was set to cast her ballot Tuesday near Mar-a-Lago, the couple’s estate in Palm Beach, Florida.
The candidates blitzed through the battleground states on Monday, with Biden also pushing into Ohio, a state once thought to be safe for Trump.
Trump, who held 14 rallies in the last three days leading up to election day, dances after a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan Monday
The president, for his part, packed in five rallies, Air Force One streaking across the sky as he drew crowds in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and then back in Michigan again.
His finale stretched past midnight in Grand Rapids, where he had also held his last rally in 2016.
It marked the end of an era in American politics, one in part defined by the massive and exuberant gatherings that the president continued to hold despite warnings from his government’s own public health experts to avoid crowds during the pandemic.
The next president will inherit an anxious nation, reeling from a once-in-a-century heath crisis that has closed schools and businesses and that is worsening as the weather turns cold.
Trump in Grand Rapids insisted anew that the nation was ’rounding the turn’ on the virus. But Dr. Deborah Birx, the coordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, broke with the president and joined a chorus of Trump administration scientists sounding the alarm about the current spike in infections.
‘We are entering the most concerning and most deadly phase of this pandemic,’ Birx wrote in a memo distributed to top administration officials. She added that the nation was not implementing ‘balanced’ measures needed to slow the spread of the virus. One recipient confirmed the contents that were initially reported Monday by The Washington Post.
The pandemic has shadowed the campaign, which has largely been a referendum of Trump´s handling of the virus.
The challenge of counting a record-setting early vote added a layer of uncertainty to an election marked by suspicions fueled by an incumbent who has consistently trailed in the polls.
Melania looks sensational in $4,500 chain-print Gucci dress as she votes in 77 degree Florida heat after final pre-election poll showed Joe Biden holding a narrow lead in swing state
Melania Trump put on a stylish show on Tuesday morning as she arrived in the swing state of Florida to cast her vote in the 2020 election, looking elegant in a $4,500 chain-print Gucci dress.
The 50-year-old First Lady flashed a small smile at the cameras as she arrived at the polling station in the Trumps’ home state of Florida, one of several key swing states where her husband is hoping to hold victory against Democratic candidate Joe Biden.
However the final poll heading into election day showed that Biden, 77, held a narrow lead over Trump, 74, in six swing states, including Florida, as well as Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Milestone moment! Melania Trump arrived at a polling station in Palm Beach, Florida, on Tuesday morning to cast her vote in-person
Style star: The 50-year-old put on an elegant display in a $4,500 chain-print Gucci dress as she arrived at the polling station in the swing state
Support: Melania will likely return to Washington, D.C. to be by her husband’s side as they await the first results of the 2020 election on Tuesday night
Every vote counts: Melania’s trip to the polling station came hours after a final pre-election poll showed that Joe Biden held a narrow lead in Florida, as well as five other swing states
In Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – all of which Trump won in 2016 – Biden had the edge as of Monday night, however the poll showed the race as still being hotly contested, with the result hanging in the balance.
Wisconsin was the safest of the six, with Biden leading by 53 per cent and Trump claiming 45 per cent of support.
North Carolina was the narrowest of the six, with Biden generating a wafer-thin 49 per cent of support, and 47 per cent backing Trump.
Across all six the average was 50 per cent for Biden, and 46 per cent for Trump.
The Trumps’ home state of Florida was another incredibly close race, with the poll showing Biden leading by 51 per cent, while President Trump had 48 per cent of the support.
However Melania didn’t let that stop her from showing her support for her husband with an in-person trip to her local polling station at the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center, which is located just ten minutes’ drive from President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago golf club.
Melania paused to address reporters at the polling station, saying that she was feeling ‘great’, and explaining that she had chosen not to vote with her husband last week because she wanted to take part in the process on election day.
‘It’s Election Day, so I wanted to come here to vote today for the election,’ she said.
The President and his wife made the decision in late 2019 to change their official home state from Manhattan to Palm Beach, with the New York Times first reporting the news on October 31.
Home: The First Couple became official residents of the state of Florida in late 2019, when they both filed paperwork to make Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort their main domicile
Team: Melania was flanked by several Secret Service agents as she exited the polling station, having spent just a matter of minutes inside casting her vote
Helping hand: The mother-of-one was escorted out of the polling station by Wendy Sartory Link, the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections
Sunny days ahead? Melania took full advantage of the balmy Palm Beach weather with her summery ensemble, which she accessorized with a Hermes Kelly bag, worth around $17,000
Trump, who was born in Queens, New York, then confirmed the news later that day, citing ‘bad treatment by the political leaders of both the city and the state’ as the reason for his move.
‘I hated having to make this decision, but in the end it will be best for all concerned,’ he tweeted at the time. ‘As President, I will always be there to help New York and the great people of New York. It will always have a special place in my heart!
‘Despite the fact that I pay millions of dollars in city, state and local taxes each year, I have been treated very badly by the political leaders of both the city and state. Few have been treated worse.’
Melania certainly seemed happy to take advantage of the balmy weather in Palm Beach, making the most of the warm 77 degree temperature by wearing a summery ensemble that included her silk Gucci dress, which she accessorized with nude pointed-toe Christian Louboutin heels, and a pair of tortoiseshell shades.
She completed the elegant look with a canvas-and-leather Hermes Kelly bag, which is likely to be worth around $17,000.
It is thought that the First Lady will return to Washington, D.C. soon after casting her vote in order to join her husband, who spent the early hours of election day in the White House.
The first exit poll results are expected to come within minutes of the polls closing in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia at 7PM EST; the first official results in Florida are expected within minutes of the Pandhandle closing at 8PM EST.
These results will give some indication as to how the perennial swing state has gone. Florida is used to processing large numbers of mail-in ballots, and early voting numbers will likely come out quickly as well.
Those tallies will be followed by in-person voting – however officials believe they will still be counting into daylight on Wednesday, meaning the final result will not be released until hours after the polls have closed.
Hotly contested: The final pre-election poll showed that Biden leading in Florida by 51 per cent, while President Trump had 48 per cent of the support
On her way: It is thought that Melania will return to Washington, D.C. today in order to join her husband as they await the first results of the election
Nail biter: Florida polls – except those in the Panhandle, which is on Central Time – will close at 7PM EST and the first exit polls are expected soon after the Panhandle closes at 8PM EST
Hoping to hold on: Trump claimed victory in Florida in 2016, however this year’s election results are expected to be closer than ever
Melania’s trip to the Palm Beach polling station came just hours after she tore into Biden in a speech at her final solo rally in North Carolina, calling the former Vice-President a ‘career politician’ who ‘apologizes for American greatness’ and is a proponent of the radical left’s agenda.
The First Lady stood out in a $5,990 tan leather peplum jacket by Ralph Lauren as she addressed the crowd at the ‘Make America Great Again’ rally held at Magnolia Woods in Huntersville, a suburb of Charlotte.
‘When rioters and looters were burning our cities and wrecking small businesses that belong to hard working families and bring jobs to our communities, where were the Democrats?’ she asked the crowd.
‘Why should we trust Joe Biden when he suggests he can do a better job? All you have to do is look back on his 47 years in political life to determine whether you think he is suddenly capable of putting the American people first.’
Melania insisted that, in contrast, her husband has spent the past three and a half years fighting for the American people.
She told the crowd: ”Today, we have a President who upholds and defends our justice system. We can vote to keep that a reality or people can choose a candidate who is willing to pack the Supreme Court to protect a radical leftist agenda.
‘We can vote for a President who protects our communities and our law enforcement or a politician who will defund them. My husband is a President who takes care of our veterans, rebuilt our military, and has kept us out of new wars.’
The First Lady added that ‘healthcare for every citizen remains a priority’ for Trump.
Melania went on to accuse Democrats of attempting ‘to make COVID-19 the most politically charged, polarizing, and divisive topic of the last decade.’
‘Instead of working with our Administration to unify and protect our nation, they only sought to attack us,’ she said. ‘With very little information, they created their own narrative and stoked fear. It was not only dishonest — it was a disservice to the very people they claim to keep informed.
All smiles: Melania’s trip to the polls came just hours after she campaigned for her husband in Huntersville, North Carolina, on Monday night
Outfit of the day: The First Lady donned a $5,990 leather jacket by Ralph Lauren for the ‘Make America Great Again’ rally at Magnolia Woods
‘President Trump is moving this country forward,’ she said. ‘Under his leadership, our nation continues developing safer procedures and practices so that children can get back in the classroom.
‘Restaurants and businesses are reopening safely and people are earning an income again. This President is focused not only on destroying the virus, but creating ways for people to safely start gathering with friends again,’ she added. ‘This is about mental health as much as it is about physical wellbeing.’
COVID-19 cases have been rising rapidly in nearly every state in the days leading up to the election as the death toll continues to climb.
There have been more than 9.33 million coronavirus cases reported since the start of the pandemic and over 231,000 deaths.
Melania accused Biden of trying to scare the American people and shut down the country again.
‘Joe Biden predicts a dark winter. His solution is to shut things down, to scare the people of our country and hurt our economy and our jobs,’ she said. ‘That is not leadership. That is trying to scare people for votes. My husband sees something different.’
Melania blamed the media for ‘open disdain and hostility’ towards Trump supporters, claiming it has led them to be afraid to wear Trump clothing or put up Trump signs.
‘People expressing their right to free speech, including our youth, have been harassed for wearing Trump clothing,’ she said. ‘Because of acts of intolerance and even violence, honest and hardworking Americans are sometimes afraid to put Trump signs in their yards.
‘Members of our White House staff have been thrown out of restaurants just for serving their country. Even big tech companies are now politically censoring us. All this from the supposedly tolerant left. But like my husband, we cannot and we will not give up.’
The look: Melania paired the trench-coat style jacket with a matching suede skirt and heels
Beaming: Melania had a bright smile on her face as she stepped on stage at the rally
‘We’ve had three and a half years of winning. Let’s have another four,’ she said as she ended her speech.
On Saturday, Melania urged Americans to ‘practice safe, responsible behaviors’ during the upcoming holiday season as she barnstormed the Midwest for her husband’s reelection campaign.
The First Lady made the remarks during a speech delivered to a crowd of supporters at Kingsheart Farm in West Bend, Wisconsin .
Almost all of FLOTUS ‘ fans appeared to have heeded her advice and were seen wearing face masks as they packed close together and listened to her address.
‘For families participating in Halloween festivities this year, I encourage you to visit the CDC website to read the latest safety guidelines,’ Melania stated.
‘As we approach the holiday season, we must all do our part to ensure we practice responsible, safe behaviors.’
The First Lady’s comments came as America recorded its highest daily number of coronavirus infections since the pandemic began. On Friday, more than 99,000 people tested positive for the virus in just 24 hours.
Melania then turned her attention towards the Democrats, blasting left-wing politicians for questioning the safety and efficacy of a vaccine that could be released under the Trump Administration.
‘Shame on anyone who casts doubt on the potential effectiveness of a vaccine just because it would come under my husband’s leadership,’ FLOTUS fumed.
‘The success of a vaccine will save millions of lives and we should all work towards that together as one nation.’
The glamorous First Lady — who bundled up against the Midwest autumnal chill in a long, dark coat — also ripped into congressional Democrats, accusing them of ‘selfishly’ holding up financial aid for needy Americans.
‘This Administration has worked tirelessly to support families and people struggling financially during this pandemic while Democrats in Congress refuse to sign another stimulus package,’ she raged.
Campaigning: Melania has implored Americans to ‘practice safe, responsible behaviors’ during the upcoming holiday season while in West Bend, Wisconsin, on Saturday
Happy to be there: FLOTUS appeared in high spirits as she delivered a speech to hundreds of supporters at Kingsheart Farm
Covered: Almost all the attendees wore masks as they crowded into a semi-open barn to listen to the speech
‘Such selfish, politically corrupt decisions are what separate the swamp politicians from President Trump and his Administration.’
However, she saved her most pointed attacks for her husband’s presidential rival, accusing Biden of ‘hiding in his basement’ and claiming he would send the country back into lockdown.
‘Joe Biden said this will be a dark winter. That is not the statement of a leader. He wants to make us hide in fear in our basements rather than work bravely within our communities to find lasting solutions. His solution is to move backwards and to shut things down,’ the First Lady stated.
‘Joe Biden says he could do a better job leading our great nation. Apparently when you hide in a basement, you feel safe communicating your wishful thinking.’
Melania painted President Trump in contrast, saying her husband was interested in opening up the economy and looking toward the future.
‘We now have careful safety measures in place in every city and state. These safety measures allow our children to get back in the classroom. This President is focused on not just destroying the virus, but creating ways for people to safely start gathering with friends again. This is about mental health as much as it is about the physical well-being of people.’
The First Lady has only just returned to the campaign trail following her coronavirus diagnosis.
She appeared on stage with Donald in Florida and North Carolina on Thursday, and then headed to Pennsylvania on a last-minute blitz of several must-win swing states.
Trump won both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in 2016, becoming the first Republican presidential candidate in more than 20 years to win the two states, effectively destroying the Democrats’ ‘blue wall.’
However, Melania has stepped up her push to help her husband secure four more years in the White House, with polls showing Biden ahead in both those states.
According to a RealClearPolitics , Biden leads by an average of four points in Pennsylvania and by six points in Wisconsin.
Trump closes the gap even further: Biden hangs on to a slim lead in six swing states Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in final poll heading into election day
Joe Biden holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in six vital states, according to a poll released on Monday by CNBC/Change Research .
In Arizona , Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – all of which Trump won in 2016 – Biden has the edge.
However, it shows the race as still being hotly contested, with the result hanging in the balance.
Wisconsin is the safest of the six, with Biden leading by 53 per cent and Trump claiming 45 per cent of support.
North Carolina is the narrowest of the six, with Biden generating a wafer-thin 49 per cent of support, and 47 per cent backing Trump.
Across all six the average is 50 per cent for Biden, and 46 per cent for Trump.
Voters are pictured standing in line to cast their votes in North Carolina on October 15
In Florida, 51 per cent of respondents said they were voting for Biden, versus 48 per cent for Trump; in Arizona, 50 per cent backed Biden, and 47 per cent Trump.
In Michigan, Biden was winning the support of 51 per cent of voters, while Trump had 44 per cent.
And in Pennsylvania, where a fight over the counting of ballots went all the way to the Supreme Court, Biden won 50 per cent, versus 46 per cent for Trump.
The swing-state poll surveyed 3,328 people from Thursday to Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.7 percentage points.
The survey showed a remarkable level of early voting.
Of those questioned, 68 per cent said they had already cast their ballot, either by mail or from voting early.
In Arizona, 85 per cent of respondents said they already voted, while 82 per cent in Florida and 81 per cent in North Carolina said the same.
Sixty three per cent of Wisconsin respondents and 57 per cent of Michigan voters said they had cast ballots.
Residents of Pembroke, North Carolina, cast their votes on Saturday
Poll workers are pictured handing out ballots in Robeson County, North Carolina
The lowest level of early voting was in Pennsylvania, where only 40 per cent said they had voted.
The state is warning that their results may not be known for several days, and on Monday the governor, Tom Wolf, a Democrat, told voters in his state to have patience.
‘These are unprecedented times. Because of the coronavirus , there were millions of votes cast by mail so it may take longer than usual to count every vote,’ he says in a new ad for the nonpartisan group, The Voter Project.
‘The folks in our election offices – your neighbors, family and friends are working hard ensuring every single vote is counted.’
Meanwhile, the battleground-state poll shows Democrats leading close races for three pivotal Senate seats.
Republicans currently have a 53-47 majority, which is under threat, with strong challenges being posed in Arizona, Michigan and North Carolina.
In Arizona, Mark Kelly, a former astronaut and the husband of former congresswoman Gabriella Giffords, shot in the head at a rally, leads Republican Senator Martha McSally by a 51 per cent to 47 per cent margin.
Voters wait in line Sunday during the last day of in person early voting in Miramar, Florida
Michigan’s Democratic Senator Gary Peters holds a 51 per cent to 46 per cent edge over John James, a Republican army veteran and businessman.
And in North Carolina, Democratic former state Senator Cal Cunningham leads Republican Senator Thom Tillis by a 50 per cent to 46 per cent margin.
Cunningham’s campaign was marked by revelations of him cheating on his wife with a married woman in California, and yet his lead over Tillis – who contracted COVID-19 after the White House ‘super spreader’ event in the Rose Garden – has remained consistent.
Coronavirus has strongly influenced the thinking in the six swing states.
Fifty four per cent of respondents in the states disapproved of his handling of the pandemic, with 46 per cent approving.
Almost the same amount – 53 per cent – said they prefer Biden and the Democrats to handle coronavirus, versus 47 per cent who chose Trump and Republicans.
Trump, 74, performed better on the economy, with 51 per cent of the swing state voters approving his handling of the nation’s finances.
Asked to name their three top issues, 48 per cent chose the economy, jobs and cost of living; 41 per cent said COVID-19; and 34 per cent said political corruption.
Get ready for the most nailbiting election in history: Your hour-by-hour guide to what to expect as America decides between Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Election night 2020 is unlike any American has seen before – with the presidency in the balance, and a record number of votes being counted in the teeth of the COVID pandemic.
Once polls close, the potential for chaos and crisis only begins. Here is DailyMail.com’s hour by hour guide to what to look out for as the U.S. passes its verdict on whether Donald Trump or Joe Biden should be in the White House , and who controls the Senate.
All times are EST.
First polls close in parts of Indiana and Kentucky .
All polls close in Georgia , South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. The remainder of Indiana and Kentucky’s polls close. Florida polls except those in the Panhandle, which is in Central Time, close.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
EXIT POLLS: The first exit polls could come within minutes – but in a pandemic year, it is unclear how accurate they will be, with at least 93 million having voted early or by mail-in ballot. A huge turnout in Georgia could mean lines still outside polling places – a problem which has bedeviled it in recent elections.
All polls close in North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
NORTH CAROLINA – TRUMP WON IN 2016
First results will come within minutes – but they might be very small percentages of the total vote. North Carolina expects to have about 80 per cent of its votes counted on election night, starting with in-person early voting totals and mail-in ballots received by November 2. In the hours following polls closing, the state will report the in-person election day votes. The state does allow mail-in ballots to come in until November 12, so if it’s close, it may take several days to announce a final result.
Polls in North Carolina have flipped repeatedly between Trump and Biden. Trump won the state in 2016. An Emerson poll that ended surveying on October 30 shows the candidates tied. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Trump a tiny .5 per cent ahead. The Senate race is equally close fought, with Republican Thom Tillis hoping to hang on but Democrat Cal Cunningham up 2.2% in recent averages despite admitting to sexting a woman who was not his wife.
Could it be the end: South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham is in the fight of his political life with Jamie Harrison
SOUTH CAROLINA – REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Not in play for the presidential election – but a closely-fought Senate race could end Republican Lindsey Graham’s career and put Democrat Jaime Harrison in his place. Graham has been ahead in the three most recent polls by between three and six points but Harrison has out fundraised him by tens of millions of dollars and there has been too little polling to be sure that Graham is safely ahead. The state says it will start reporting from around
EXIT POLLS: Polls covering swing states of North Carolina and Ohio can be expected now. Biden’s campaign believes it can flip Ohio, despite it having gone to Trump by 8.3% in 2016. Its Republican governor predicts an ultra-narrow Trump win.
All polls close in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. Most polls close in Texas and Michigan. Central time polls close in Kansas, North and South Dakota. Remaining polls, those in Central Time in the Panhandle, close in Florida.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Must win: Barack Obama held a rally in Miami on Monday night in a push for Latino and black voters in the state
FLORIDA – TRUMP WON IN 2016
The first official results are expected within minutes of the Panhandle’s polls closing – and will give some indication how the perennial swing state has gone. Florida is used to processing large numbers of mail-in ballots. Early voting numbers will come out quickly as well. Those tallies will be followed by in-person voting. But officials believe they will still be counting into daylight on Wednesday.
Biden could have an early lead in that state and see it diminished as the night goes on. He has just a 1 point lead in the Real Clear Politics polling average in Trump’s adopted home state. By 8.30PM there should be a significant proportion of Florida’s results reported – so the state will at least indicate if one candidate or another can expect a blowout
OHIO – TRUMP WON IN 2016
First results could be announced as early as 8pm. Counties are required to announce the results of all absentee ballots received by Election Day and all early votes. They can then start counting ballots cast on election day and these will be updated through the night. The number of outstanding absentee ballots will be reported on election night, meaning number crunchers will be able to determine if there are enough outstanding ballots to sway the presidential race. Ballots marked postmarked November 2 can be counted until November 13 – so a clear result could take more than a week
Late-breaking polls in Ohio gave Trump a slim advantage in the state he won over Clinton in 2016, but that President Barack Obama and Vice President Biden carried in 2008 and 2012. The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Trump 1.4 points ahead.
OTHERS: The Associated Press, Reuters and TV networks are likely to start a rapid-fire declaration of likely winners in a series of states soon after 8pm – but it is only likely to already be considered safely Republican or Democratic already.
Arkansas polls close
All polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Wisconsin and Wyoming. Remaining polls close in Kansas, Michigan, North Dakota, South Dakota and Texas
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
In trouble: Kelly Loeffler was appointed to the Senate to fill Republican Johnny Isakson’s seat but the best she can hope for in current polling is getting through to a January run-off
GEORGIA – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING TWO SENATE SEATS
Georgia is expected to take about two hours to start reporting results. The state was allowed to start processing mail-in ballots on October 19. Additionally, after court challenges, mail-in ballots had to be returned by the time polls close – not just in the mail. The only exception is for Georgia voters living abroad.
Polls show an extremely tight race with Trump ahead by .2 per cent in the Real Clear Politics polling average . At the peak of Biden’s support, in mid-October, he was just 2 points ahead.
But there are two other races which could shape the senate. Republican Kelly Loeffler is running for the seat she was appointed to in a three-way battle: she is up against Republican Dan Collins and the Rev. Raphael Warnock, the Democrat. Warnock needs 50% for an outright win, or the race goes to a top-two run-off. Polls put him between 34 and 46 per cent, not enough for a knockout, while who between Collins and Loeffler is in second place is unclear.
Unusually, the other Senate seat is also in play, Republican David Perdue is running for anther term and may be in trouble with Democrat Jon Ossoff up 0.7% on average in a formerly safely Republican state. Both Republican incumbents have faced probes into possible insider trading – of which they were cleared – but realistically, both races are likely to become a January runoff which could determine who controls the Senate.
TEXAS – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
It is possible that exit polling from Texas will give some indication of the race there as it closes completely. But what happens next is unknown. Texas allowed mail-in votes to be counted before election day, so the Lone Star state is expecting to know those results, as well as in-person voting on election night. Mail-in ballots have until November 4 at 5 p.m. to arrive, so if the state is extremely close, there could be some waiting at the end. The way the results are announced could show a Biden, then Trump swing – with a boost at the end for Biden from the remaining mail-in ballots.
The Real Clear Politics polling average gives Trump a 1.2 point advantage in the historically red state. Two polls – an Emerson and a Quinnipiac survey – from October showed the candidates tied. For most of the race, however, Trump has been more solidly ahead, with a poll here and there showing the state going blue. Officials expect rapid counting and results. In 2016, the winner was declared just after midnight – Trump took the state by nine points. But a close race will slow the Associated Press, Reuters and TV networks’ ability to call the race.
In the Senate, John Cornyn is looking for a fourth term as a Republican. He is polling ahead of Trump, averaging 6.8% over M.J. Hegar, the Democratic challenger. If Cornyn lost, it would be a sign that Texas is officially a purple state.
OTHERS: Safe states including New York are likely to be called rapidly from 9pm to 10pm. Biden’s numbers will go up more than Trump’s at this point thanks to New York’s 29 electors, and Illinois’ 20. By shortly after 9PM both campaigns are likely to have more than 100 electoral college votes in their column.
Polls close in Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah. Mountain time polls close in Idaho and Oregon.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Campaign: Gabrielle Giffords speaks for her husband Mark Kelly who is beating the Republican appointed senator, Martha McSally, in Arizona polls
ARIZONA – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
The state is anticipating the first precinct reporting numbers by about 10PM. Early and absentee ballots that were cast by the weekend will have been pre-counted and those results will be announced rapidly. Ballots cast on election day are also expected to come in Tuesday night – the state historically counts quickly. But last-minute absentee ballots could take several days to be tabulated with Thursday or Friday thought to be realistic.Biden has been several points ahead of Trump in Arizona polls for months, but a Trafalgar Group survey and a Rasmussen poll showed Trump 3 and 4 points ahead in late October, potentially indicating a narrowing of the race. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Biden 1 point ahead.
Also in play here is the Senate seat to which Martha McSally was appointed: that held by John McCain. Democrat Mark Kelly, a former astronaut married to Gabrielle Giffords, the former Congresswoman left badly injured in a mass shooting, however is consistently ahead in the polls, by an average of 6.2%. Flipping McCain’s seat would be a massive blow to Republicans and suggest that Arizona is not just purple but trending blue.
ALABAMA: DEMOCRATS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Alabama says to expect all results on election night.
The ruby-red state’s Senate seat went to Doug Jones, a Democrat, in a special election in 2017. Republicans saw their vote collapse when already controversial candidate Roy Moore was hit by allegations of inappropriate conduct with teenage girls, which he denies. Jones won by 1.5% and now faces Tommy Tuberville, a former Auburn University coach. Limited polling has given the Republican an 11-point lead in October.
MONTANA – REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Not competitive for Trump and Biden but Democratic governor Steve Bullock is running for Senate against Republican incumbent Steve Daines. Polling has been relatively scarce in this tiny state with the three most recent polls all suggesting a close race, with Bullock either behind Daines by three points, tied, or ahead by one.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
WISCONSIN – TRUMP WON IN 2016
First results will start to be reported by now, with Washington County, which is mostly rural but has some Milwaukee suburbs, likely to be first to fully declare. The last results are expected from heavily-Democratic Milwaukee county by 7am. The Supreme Court prevented ballots arriving after November 2 being counted, meaning a complete count by Wednesday is realistic.
Trump took Wisconsin by just 0.8% in one of the 2016 upsets which cost Clinton the White House. Trump has held repeated rallies there – including in Kenosha on Monday night (right). In recent weeks the state has been one of the worst affected by coronavirus, but Trump has kept coming in the belief that he can repeat the 2016 surprise. His poll average there has been poor since summer, and it now puts Biden 6.6% up.
Polls close in California and Washington state and Pacific Time polls close in Oregon and Idaho.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
MINNESOTA – CLINTON WON IN 2016, DEMOCRATS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Expect some idea of the direction of Minnesota by now. Minnesota gave itself two weeks to start counting mail-in ballots, so results should come in November 3. Ballots in the state had to be returned by election day, which could also speed up the process.
Polls have never shown Trump in front of Biden, though the president has made a play for the blue state anyway, suggesting its demographics are similar to Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, which won him the White House in 2016. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Biden ahead by 4.3 points.
Democratic senator Tina Smith is seeking re-election with a challenge from Republican Jason Lewis. She has polled an average of five points clear of the challenger, who had to stop campaigning for much of last week because of emergency hernia surgery.
NEBRASKA – TRUMP WON SINGLE ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE IN 2016
Nebraska started counting its mail-in ballots prior to election day and absentee ballots had to be returned by November 3, so the expectation is the results will be out quickly. Nebraska splits its electoral college votes so that each Congressional district has one. Only one is competitive – Nebraska-02 , representing Omaha and its suburbs. It went for Trump by just two points last time and what little polling there has been puts Biden safely ahead by three points – although Democrats believe it could be more. Trump campaigned in Omaha in the hope of keeping the vote because in a narrow fight, it could be crucial. Nebraska is usually relatively quick and all results are due by midnight so look for it to be known by now.
COLORADO: REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Colorado was already mostly mail-in ballots so is expecting to be able to handle the pandemic’s effects more easily than some states. Partial results are uploaded come roughly every 90 minutes, so the first should be safely processed by now.
Cory Gardner, the sitting Republican senator, is facing popular former Democratic governor John Hickenlooper. There have been only two polls in October, each putting Hickenlooper up eight or nine points. In a state which was Clinton by 4.9 points in 2016, Gardner has closely associated himself with Trump, which Democrats believe will seal his fate.
OTHERS: Calls will come for the safely Democratic west coast. By now Joe Biden is likely to have more than 200 electoral college votes secured, with California’s mammoth 55 key to his big advantage – Trump may be on as few as 104 by this point. Now it is entirely down to the competitive states to see what happens next. Trump’s path to re-election might have ended by now, or might be a nail-biter.
Polls close in Alaska (except for those in its Hawaii time zone) and Hawaii
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Reinforcements: Fear of losing Iowa and a Senate seat have sent Donald Trump and Mike Pence to Iowa to campaign with Joni Ernst
IOWA – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Counts relatively quickly and first results should be trickling through by now. Trump has overtaken Biden in recent polling in Iowa, after the Democrat had the lead through most of the fall. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Trump ahead by 1.4 points.
The last four polls had Trump winning in the state. The Des Moines Register survey gave Trump the biggest advantage, beating Biden by 7 – 48 per cent to 41 per cent. However, ballots postmarked by November 2 that arrive by November 9 can be counted too. This could give Biden a boost if the race is tight.
In the Senate Republican Joni Ernst is facing a formidable challenge from Theresa Greenfield. Four out of five polls have put Ernst ahead in October, but only one outside the margin of error, while another said the same for Greenfield.
Final polls close in Alaska – the voting is over everywhere
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
NEVADA – CLINTON WON IN 2016
Nevada mailed out ballots to every registered voter this year and those ballots just have to be postmarked by November 3 – meaning counting could go on for days. However, mail-in ballots can be counted before election day, so there could be some results reported on November 3. If it’s close, ballots being counted later will likely trend toward Biden.
Biden has been consistently ahead of Trump in Nevada polling, with Trump never ahead in a survey for the past year. The Real Clear Politics polling average has the Democrat winning the state by 3.6 points.
All over: Hillary Clinton was declared the loser by 2.29AM on November 9, 2016.
In 2016, this was when the Associated Press declared Trump had won and Hillary Clinton had lost.
MAINE – TRUMP WON ONE ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Like Nebraska, Maine splits its electoral college votes, with one for each Congressional district. Maine officials are allowing mail-in ballots to be counted prior to polls closing.
But Maine uses a ‘ranked preference’ system which means that if one candidate breaks 50 per cent, the result is likely before midnight. But if one does not, ballots go to Augusta for second preferences to be tabulated, which could take it far into Wednesday.
Trump pulled away one Electoral Vote from Hillary Clinton in 2016 thanks to Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, in the north of the state. However, all three polls conducted in October showed Biden ahead by around 3 points there.
Republican senator Susan Collins also appears to be deeply vulnerable to Democratic challenger Sara Gideon.
Collins, who Trump has not campaigned for, is down by between four and seven points in October’s polls and was overwhelmingly outfundraised. She had held her seat with a 37-point advantage in 2014 but Democrats believe she is the most vulnerable Republican senator of all.
All about Michigan: Joe Biden campaigned with Barack Obama in Detroit on Saturday. Democrats are determined not to see a repeat of the 2016 upset
MICHIGAN -TRUMP WIN IN 2016, DEMOCRATS DEFENDING ONE SENATE SEAT
Michigan’s results will be slow to come in as mail-in ballot counting didn’t start until November 2. Michigan’s secretary of state estimated that it could take until Friday for all the ballots to be counted. The state could trend toward Biden later in the week, as Democrats are more prone to mail their ballots in.
Polling has had Biden ahead in Michigan, one of the three ‘blue wall’ states Trump won in 2016, for months – however, a late-breaking Trafalgar poll showed Trump up by 2 points. Overall, the Real Clear Politics polling average has Biden ahead by 5.1 points.
Democratic senator Gary Peters is also defending his seat against Republican John James. James, who is black, has been seen as a Republican rising star. But Peters’ polling average is ahead by 5.5 points, almost identical to Biden’s lead.
Hats all: No state has occupied each campaign more than Pennsylvania – but when the results of their efforts will be known is unknown
PENNSYLVANIA – TRUMP WON IN 2016
Mail-in ballots can’t begin being processed in the Keystone State until 7 a.m. on November 3 – meaning a final result could take days. Some Pennsylvania counties also plan to count in-person Election Day votes first – this could give Trump a perceived edge in the state, only for later ballots to move the count toward Biden.
Mail-in ballots postmarked on election day can arrive as late as November 6, further lengthening the process. The counting deadline is November 23 – a whole 20 days after the election – but officials have pointed to Friday as when most Pennsylvanians’ votes will be counted.
Pennsylvania polling had given Biden the advantage for months, but several late October surveys show Trump ahead in the state that clinched him his Electoral College win in 2016. The narrowed race has Biden up by 2.9 points in the Real Clear Politics polling average .
AND WHERE TO FIND THE CANDIDATES
TRUMP: The president will throw a party at the White House with several hundred supporters – who will all be tested for coronavirus, as the event will be held inside. The Trump campaign promoted an election night shindig at the president’s Washington, D.C., hotel, but Trump pointed a finger at D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser – who in ‘phase two’ is limiting gatherings to 50 people – as the party pooper. As the White House is federal property, Trump can do whatever he likes.
BIDEN: The Democratic nominee will be in Wilmington, Delaware with his running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris on election night. The campaign has yet to release additional details on their plans. Before that, Biden will make one more trip to the Pennsylvania town where he was born, Scranton, and he’ll make a stop in Philadelphia, where his campaign offices were based. Harris will make a final election day stop too, in Detroit. As will Dr. Jill Biden, the former VP’s wife. She’ll be in Tampa and St. Petersburg, Florida and then head to Wake County, North Carolina. Harris’ husband Doug Emhoff will be in Columbus, Ohio.
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